Forex Trading Articles

Pairs Trading – The Secret to Cashing Profits

pairs trading plan

Pairs trading is a market neutral trading system lots of hedge funds and authorised traders make the most of. During this manual, you’ll find out the principles of set trading plan and the way to market your trades out of sudden market moves.

Pairs trading is based on an mathematical theory called cointegration. With the goal of this piece, we allnot likely to fret a lot about the set trading formula and also the pairs trading qualitative procedures and investigation.

When it comes to trading, managing risk is crucial. The sector is high in sudden and expected risk facets. These risks might make it tougher for one to make money from trades and reduce risks in precisely the exact same moment.

No economy in Wall Street is completely protected. What this means is we want several tips to help mitigate the chance. In this aspect, to help minimize the probability of a sudden celebration, professional traders may use the set trading technique to safeguard a certain trading idea.

Pairs Trading – How It Works?

Pairs trading is a method utilized to trade the differentials between just two assets or markets. With this tactic, you shouldn’t focus on what one individual currency or stock does. Instead, focus on how the relationship between those two work.

best pair trading stocks

Pairs trading is essentially taking a long position in one asset. At the same time, you take an equal-sized short position in another asset. The two assets need to be highly correlated. They is anything from two stocks, currencies, commodities, options or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Note*: You first want to trade two things that are ultimately reasonable correlated.

The bestforex pairs to trade with this market neutral strategy are the ones with the highest correlation.

Overall, the two trades matched should give us a neutral or risk-free position that allows traders to make a profit in the market.

Why Does the Pair Trading Strategy Work?

Pairs Trading Example

Let’s take a pairs trading example and assume our trader Joe wants to buy Twitter. Our trader has identified a bullish trend or a pattern that suggests the Twitter stock price is going to go up. In order to mitigate the risk of being wrong, Joe decides to pair his trade with another sector-related stock.

Among the best pair trading stocks, Joe chooses to match his long Twitter position with an equal-size short Facebook position.

pairs trading

Depending on the difference between the gain and the loss of each trade, Joe can either lose or make money. With the pair trading strategy, when you lose you only lose small, but the profit potential is so much greater.

If both Twitter and Facebook stocks go up, Joe pockets the difference between the profits made on the long position and the loss in the short position. Assuming that the relative performance of Twitter stock is better than the relative performance of the Facebook stock, Joe is profitable.

However, no matter where the general market goes, one of the positions will always show a profit while the other one will show you a loss. In very rare circumstances you can end up with two winning or to losing positions.

Let’s now outline the rules of a very simple pair trading strategy that can help us hedge the risk

Pair Trading Strategy Rules

Before utilizing the pair trading strategy we first need to make sure that the instruments we’re going to trade are correlated. What we want to see is a positive correlation were both instruments move in tandem.

Our pairs trading strategy model uses a unique approach when trying to pair trading stocks.

What we look for are correlated stocks that have short periods when they diverge from one another. If these stocks have a strong correlation, then eventually they will revert back from trading in tandem.

From these price irregularities, we can actually make a profit.

Here is how you can spot a trade with the pairs trading strategy.

Step #1: Identify Two Correlated Stocks that have a strong positive correlation

Since this is a neutral trading strategy, the market direction doesn’t matter how much. Provided that we’ve picked two stocks which have a powerful correlation plus so they ceased moving in stocks, then we will earn a profit once both stocks put InSync later punctually.

impartial trading plan

In the graph below we are able to easily see that General Motors and Tesla frequently go in tandem. After the correlation ceases, we thenoffered a trading possibility to Shortsell General Motors as it’s out-performing and proceed long Tesla as it’s under performing.

In the graph below, we’ve identified that an example were Tesla stock-price rallied sharply in value in accordance with GM inventory cost.

pair trading inventory

What is harder is the time to time your trades, the way to control risk when to clean that the proceeds.

For this, we’re definitely going to show you an essential trading secret.

Step #2: Divide the Tesla inventory cost by GM inventory cost

Tradingview lets you plot the ratio of just one stock against the other stock. All you need to do will be to split the share price of Tesla by the share price of GM. To put it simply “TSLA/GM” from the ticker symbol carton and you’ll observe the ratio between both stocks plotted on the graph.

The percentage demonstrates that the share price of TSLA is 8 times costlier compared to the share price of GM.

pairs trading ratios

To truly have a better understanding of the boosters, we will need to make use of one trading index.

Step #3: Apply the BB index using 200 intervals and two Standard-deviation

We utilize the Bollinger Bands index to identify exactly the changing times once the correlation between the two stocks has proceeded a lot from the standard, that is going to lead to a trading chance.

As a broad principle once the stock ratio reaches on the top BB or two standard deviations, you could sell Tesla and Buy GM. But once the stock ratio rolls the decrease BB or two standard deviations, you can purchase Tesla and sell GM.

bollinger bands index

The future section will explain to you the best way you can deal with your risk and trade.

Step #4: Take the trade once the ratio reaches on two standard deviations.

Once we be certain that the stock price doesn’t move in tandem anymore, then a trade is taken right away when the stock ratio touches the upper Bollinger Bands.

A safer approach is to wait for the ratio to start moving back towards normal. This way you can avoid holding a losing trade for too long. Additionally, you can also use the recent swing highs and lows that will develop as a place to hide your protective stop loss.

Have a look at how the trade looks on the price chart:

pair trading price chart

With the first approach, you would have short-sell TSLA on August 2 at $350 a share. And, bought GM at $37 a share.

With the more conservative approach, if you waited for the ratio to turn back inside the BB you would have short-sell Tesla on August 16 at $335.45. And, bought GM at $36.29.

The difference between the two approaches is that the second entry strategy will eat up from your profits, but it will give you a safer location to hide your SL.

pair trading books

Once the price discrepancy between the two stocks vanishes, meaning the ratio returns back to normal aka the 200-day moving average, we want to cash in our positions.

On August 20 the ratio signals that the two stocks are now starting to trade in tandem again. On this date, one share of Tesla is worth $288.20 while one share of GM is worth $36.36. Because the price correlation between the two stocks has been reestablished the reason behind our trade has gone so we want to close our positions.

pair trading charts

Let’s assume that we have put at work $10,000 for each of the two stocks. In this case scenario, we would have bought 28 shares of TSLA ($10,000/$350) and sell 270 shares of GM ($10,000/$37).

Let’s do the math and see how much money we’ve lost or made after we closed the positions on August 20:

Long Tesla Trade: $350 – $288.20 = $61.8 *28 shares = $1730.4 Profit

Short GM Trade: $37 – $36.36 = $0.64 * 270 shares = $172.8 Loss

Net Profit/Loss: $1730.4 – 172.8 = $1, 5557.6

Not all best pair trading stocks will work out this well. Sometimes we can get a loss on both trades or other times even see profits on both the long and the short trade.

Conclusion – Best Pair Trading Stocks

The pair trading strategy enables traders to profit from virtually any market conditions: bullish trends, bearish trends, and even range trading markets. The essential part of a successful pair trading is relative performance. To have peace of mind, professional traders only target the relative performance of their first trade compared the performance of its matched trade.

The most critical part of any pair trade is how to identify the best forex pairs to trade. If executed properly, the market neutral pairs trading strategy can take away a lot of the irritation out of trading.

The advantage of using the best pair trading stocks is that you have a lot of flexibility. You also don’t even need to figure the overall market leadership.

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